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Oil Price Fallout from Saudi-Iran Tensions

  If you’re an American driver, it might be difficult to look past low gas prices and toward the larger political landscape. After all, when getting from point A to point B becomes cheaper than it has been for some time, political and economic tensions a world away hardly seem of consequence. However, although oil […]

Emerging Markets Stuck Between the Fed and the PBOC

Emerging Markets Stuck Between the Fed and the PBOC

  Emerging markets played into the popular narrative during the build-up to the US Federal Reserve’s rate hike December. Back then one of the persistent points in the ‘don’t hike’ column was the potential impact a stronger US dollar would have on emerging market currencies. The monetary hawks argued that it wasn’t within the Fed’s […]

GPM Outlook 2016: The South China Sea Dispute

GPM Outlook 2016: The South China Sea Dispute

  Background Over the past few years, China has begun to transition away from its ‘peaceful rise’ strategy, which called for fostering an international environment that’s amenable to economic expansion; or in other words, not rocking the boat of the prevailing US-led order in East Asia. A centerpiece of this policy shift has been to […]

Venezuela’s Economic Crisis Transforming into a Political One

Venezuela’s Economic Crisis Transforming into a Political One

  Hyperinflation, contraction, and a brewing fiscal crunch that threatens government default as soon as this year – Venezuelans are looking down the barrel of the gun. The economic challenges they face are daunting to say the least, and without a swift recovery in global oil prices they’re set to get worse before they get […]

Cross-Strait ‘Status Quo’ in the Balance as Taiwan Heads to the Polls

  This week’s polls are a coming out party for Taiwan’s hard-earned democratic system. Just 20 years removed from its first presidential elections, the island is anticipating another peaceful political transition, though this time without the dramatic electoral splits, cross-Strait coercion, or last-minute attempted murders that helped steer past results. You might even say that […]

Pathankot Attack Hints at a Power Struggle in Pakistan

  Strangely, the Pakistani terrorist attack on the Pathankot air base is getting internationalized, and not at the asking of India. Pakistan’s mortification is unprecedented. Instead of hurling volleys of accusation, New Delhi silently but carefully gathered crucial evidence, which implicates Jaish-e-Muhammad for hatching the conspiracy under close guidance of the ISI. The evidence which […]

A Brief History of the Shiite-Sunni Conflict

  The division between Shiites and Sunnis has served to justify many wars and revolutions, including the ongoing wars in Syria and Yemen, which now have an even greater potential of spreading to other parts of the Middle East. The 47 executions for terrorism and sedition in Saudi Arabia, which included the killing of Shiite […]

Vanishing Island Nations: The Case for the Maldives

  According to the Environmental Protection Agency, global sea levels have risen by about 7.5 inches since 1870. This impacts some countries more severely than others. Island countries, such as the Maldives, Kiribati, Palau, Micronesia and Seychelles are the weakest link in the chain with respect to climate change and the risk of being submerged […]

Beijing Walking a Fine Line Between Boom and Bust

Beijing Walking a Fine Line Between Boom and Bust

  Equities kicked off 2016 on a sour note, as markets in Europe and North America took their cues from a stock market rout in China, where the Shanghai Composite lost 6.9%, the Shenzen Composite 8%, and the blue-chip CSI 300 7%. The selloff deep enough to trigger a circuit-breaker that brings a halt to […]

Corruption & Revolution: The Coming Turmoil in Kyrgyzstan

  Weak public institutions, corrupt government officials, criminal entities within the state, and political instability are recurrent problems in the Kyrgyz Republic. With a population of six million and a territory spanning 77,200 square miles, landlocked Kyrgyzstan has large swathes of sparsely populated rural areas.  More importantly, over 80% of this rural population is struggling […]